Epidemiology of Pandemic Influenza: Use of Surveillance and Modeling for Pandemic Preparedness
- Arnold Monto; Lorraine Comanor; David Shay; William Thompson
PMID: 17163395DOI: https://doi.org/10.1086/507559
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This article is about how we can prepare for flu pandemics by using surveillance and modeling. It describes the importance of studying past pandemics to understand their viruses and patterns. New molecular diagnostics help identify virus origins, allowing comparisons with new viruses found through ongoing surveillance. Models are used to estimate hospitalizations and deaths from past epidemics, helping predict future pandemic impacts and healthcare needs. By improving current influenza tracking programs, we can better plan for future outbreaks of different severities, ensuring readiness in handling them effectively.
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